There are pretty good signs that the shots which killed Aleksandr Muzychko might turn out to be the first ones of the upcoming civil war.
So far, what happened was not a civil war, but a armed insurrection followed by a coup, a revolution for sure, but not a civil war. What is beginning to take place now is very different. Consider this:
1) There are now four very different forces in the Ukraine:
the US/EU run oligarchs (Timoshenko, Iatseniuk, etc)
the US funded but probably not really controlled neo-Nazi crazies (Tiagnibok and Right Sector
the local mobsters pretending to be revolutionaries
the Russian speakers
This makes for a very dangerous and volatile combination
2) There are numerous reports of assaults, lynchings, pogroms, murders, intimidations and robberies all over the Ukraine. Some are committed by the neo-Nazis, some by mobsters pretending to act in the name of the revolution. The population is very fearful not only for its future, but even for its present.
3) The state, or what remains of it, is clearly controlled by the oligarchs, but there is very little it can do since the only instrument of power which it controls is the SBU, the Ukrainian state security, which is phenomenally corrupt, whose best cadre have left a long time ago and which is basically taking orders from the CIA. There are also some police forces (special SWAT teams, cops from the western Ukraine), but they are few in numbers. They can kidnap this or that Russian-speaker or kill some individual (like Muzychko), but they cannot fight the neo-Nazis or mobsters.
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